美挑起贸易战造成紧张,欧盟刚刚削减了欧元区增长预期.

2018-07-13 15:02

小弈编译

(本文为小弈自动翻译)

[(Title)] The EU Just Slashed the Eurozone Growth Forecast Because of U.S. Trade War Tensions.


The Eurozone is already bracing for the fallout of tightening trade tensions with the U.S.

欧元区已经为与美国日益紧张的贸易关系带来的后果做好了准备。

Europe's summer interim forecast puts growth 0.2% lower than its spring forecast, around 2.1% for 2018 and 2% for 2019.

欧洲夏季中期预测显示,经济增长比春季预测降低0.2%,2018年约为2.1%,2019年约为2%。

Commissioner for Economic and Financial Affairs, Taxation and Customs Pierre Moscovici said the downward revision was due to external factors such as U.S. trade uncertainty and high oil prices.

经济和金融事务专员、税务和海关事务专员皮埃尔·莫斯科维奇表示,下调幅度是由于外部因素,如美国的贸易不确定性和高油价。

Oil prices are driving inflation, with 1.9% for the EU as a whole and 1.7% for the countries using the euro. Eurozone wages have also finally begun to climb, the FT reported earlier this week, but still lag overall economic growth.

油价推动通货膨胀,欧盟整体通货膨胀率为1.9%,欧元使用国为1.7%。英国《金融时报》本周早些时候报道,欧元区工资时评终于开始攀升,但仍落后于整体经济增长。

Spain, for example, is set to grow 2.8% in 2018, down 0.1% from the spring's forecast, before decelerating slightly in 2019 to 2.4%, thanks to strong private consumption and construction investments.

以西班牙为例,由于私人消费和建筑投资强劲,西班牙2018年将增长2.8%,比春季的预测下降0.1%,然后在2019年略微减速至2.4%。

The U.K., however, is projected to slow to 1.3% for 2018, down 0.2%, meaning it will be one of the slowest-growing EU economies ahead of next year's scheduled date for Brexit.

不过,英国预计2018年将放缓至1.3%,降幅为0.2%,这意味着它将在明年英国退出欧盟预定日期之前成为欧盟增长最慢的经济体之一。

Moscovici noted that the forecast is based on maintaining the status quo and that further barriers to trade could still lower growth this year.

莫斯科维奇指出,这一预测是基于维持现状,进一步的贸易壁垒可能会降低今年的增长。

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